Saturday, 16 November 2013

Summer of attacks expected in India

As many as 700 members of Islamic suicide squads could already have crossed into India to conduct attacks, according to a leaked intelligence report, reported by Headline Today…The intelligence report suggests the militants in India are being tasked to attack schools, hospitals, marketplaces, and temples around Diwali and Dussehra…Pakistan has historically assisted and controlled Islamic militant groups, such as Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) and Hizbul Mujahideen… Indian security services apparently lost track of the militants soon after they entered Indian Kashmir and are unable to continue to intercept their communications, even though the wireless callsigns of the group are known to be “88” and “Hotel 4” on a compromised frequency…Pakistan has become increasingly aggressive over the disputed Kashmir territory by turning more often to militants to better leverage their position against India…The ISI also appear to be in implicit control of large sections of Pakistan’s foreign policy… A recent report by India’s Ministry of Home Affairs found that 60 percent of militants in Pakistan are controlled by Pakistan’s Inter-Service Intelligence Directorate (ISI)…What makes these events more worrisome is that generally, silence on a known wireless communication router indicate impending attacks or a change of communication protocols, either way the Indian Intelligence Bureau will be looking hard for the suicide squads…The leaked intelligence report warns of attacks during summer 2014, but strikes could occur sooner…These militants will be used as a tool to affect the expected political transition and departure of ISAF troops in Afghanistan in Pakistan’s favour…On top of this, Pakistan’s Army Chief Ashfaq Parvez Kayani is set to retire next year and his as-yet unnamed successor could use the groups to establish credibility…And the upcoming Indian election will introduce a new Prime Minister looking to show his strong nationalist credentials also…India will likely endure a summer of militant attacks as both countries fight a low-lever proxy war…Because of this, progress in bilateral relations will deteriorate but outright war will probably be avoided.

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